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Stock markets sold off on Friday as new data suggested that the economy was slowing, while inflation was rising. A slowing economy causes inflation to drop, but that has not been the case according to recent data. In the late 1970’s economists had to come up with the term stagflation because the economy was stagnant, and inflation was rising. That’s something that had never happened before. Investors fear that we may be heading into a period like that, but it’s too early to tell. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 64.7 in February, a decline of almost 10%. This shocked experts and stock markets dropped sharply with the Dow dropping 700 points, its worst day of 2025. Last Friday it was reported that retail sales unexpectedly fell in January, and retail stocks dropped this week as Walmart forecasted that future sales would be weaker than expected. Often inflation data runs a couple of months behind economic data. The economy has been very strong until these recent reports. Stock markets have increased sharply since the election last November as investors expect lower tax rates and less regulation. Tariffs are another concern, but it is quite probable that if the economy does cool consumers will stop spending and inflation rates will drop. Thinking otherwise is very premature. Stock markets – The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week at 43,428.02, down 2.5% from 44,546.08 last week. It is up 2.1% year-to-date. The S&P 500 closed the week at 6,013.13, down 1.7% from 6,114.63 last week. The S&P is up 2.2% year-to-date. The Nasdaq closed the week at 19,524.01, down 2.5% from 20,026.77 last week. It is up 1.1% year-to-date. U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the week yielding 4.42%, down from 4.47% last week. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the week at 4.67%, down slightly from 4.69% last week. We watch bond yields because mortgage rates follow bond yields. Mortgage rates – Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes interest rates based on a survey of mortgage lenders throughout the week. The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as of February 20, 2025, were as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.85%, down slightly from 6.87% last week. The 15-year fixed was 6.04%, down slightly from 6.09% last week. The graph below shows the trajectory of mortgage rates over the past year Home sales data is released on the third week of the month for the previous month by the California Association of Realtors and the National Association of Realtors. These are January’s home sales figures. U.S. existing-home sales January 2025 – The National Association of Realtors reported that existing-home sales totaled 4.08 million units on a seasonally annualized rate in January, up 2% from an annualized rate of 4 million units last January. The median price for a home sold in the U.S. in January was $396,900, up 4.8% from $378,600 one year ago. There was a 3.5-month supply of homes for sale in January, up from a 3-month supply one year ago. First-time buyers accounted for 28 % of all sales. Investors and second-home purchases accounted for 17% of all sales. All cash purchases accounted for 29% of all sales. Foreclosures and short sales accounted for 3% of all sales. California existing-home sales – The California Association of Realtors reported that existing-home sales totaled 254,110 on an annualized basis in January, down 1.9% from a revised 259,160 homes sold on an annualized basis last January. The statewide median price paid for a home in was $838,850 in January, up 6.3% from $789,480 one year ago. There was a 4.1-month supply of homes for sale in January, up significantly from a 2.7-month supply of homes for sale in December and up from a 3.2-month supply in January 2024. The graph below lists home sales data by county in Southern California Have a Great Weekend!

Mortgage rates – Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes interest rates based on a survey of mortgage lenders throughout the week. The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as of February 20, 2025, were as follows:

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.85%, down from 6.87% last week. The 15-year fixed was 6.04%, down from 6.09% last week.

The graph below shows the trajectory of mortgage rates over the past year.

Freddie Mac was chartered by Congress in 1970 to keep money flowing to mortgage lenders in support of homeownership and rental housing. Their mandate is to provide liquidity, stability, and affordability to the U.S.

Inflation increased in January – The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released on Wednesday. It showed that consumer inflation increased 0.5% month-over-month. That marked the largest month-over-month increase since August 2023. The CPI index showed consumer prices were up 3% year-over-year. The CPI index peaked at 9.1% in May 2022 and worked its way down to 2.4% in August 2024, unfortunately, its risen every month since then and is now back up to 3%, a one-year high. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices increased 0.4% month-over-month in January, its highest monthly increase since April 2023. It is currently up 3.3% year-over-year. On Thursday it was reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI) jumped 3.5% year-over-year in January, its highest increase since February 2023. Producer prices are wholesale prices. When producers have to pay more for goods and materials those increases are passed along to consumer prices. Bond yields and mortgage rates rose on Wednesday and Thursday following the inflation news.

Retail sales slumped in January – On Friday the Commerce Department reported that retail sales slipped 0.9% in January, down from a 0.7% gain in December. Normally when the unemployment rate drops and wages increase much higher than the inflation rates consumer spending increases which fuels inflation. Consumer spending has surged for several years now. A drop in consumer spending in January could be a sign that consumers are feeling less optimistic about their finances. Investors will look to future months to see if this was just an outlier or if consumers are beginning to curtail their shopping. This was good news for mortgage rates and bond yields which dropped on Friday to end the week unchanged from last week’s rates.

The graph below shows the CPI rate since 2021.

Stock markets – The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week at 44,546.08, up 0.5% from 44,303.40 last week. It is up 4.7% year-to-date. The S&P 500 closed the week at 6,114.63, up 1.5% from 6,025.99 last week. The S&P is up 4% year-to-date. The Nasdaq closed the week at 20,026.77, up 2.6% from 19,523.40 last week. It is up 3.7% year-to-date.

U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the week yielding 4.47%, down slightly from 4.49% last week. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the week at 4.69%, unchanged from 4.69% last week. We watch bond yields because mortgage rates follow bond yields.

Mortgage rates – Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes interest rates based on a survey of mortgage lenders throughout the week. The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as of February 13, 2025, were as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.87%, down slightly from 6.89% last week. The 15-year fixed was 6.09%, up slightly from 6.05% last week.

The graph below shows the trajectory of mortgage rates over the past year.

January’s home sales figures will be released next week by the California Association of Realtors and the National Association of Realtors. Those will be included in next week’s report. You can get the same data now for your city, county, or zip code from our website RodeoRe.com.

Mortgage rates – Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes interest rates based on a survey of mortgage lenders throughout the week. The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as of February 13, 2025, were as follows:

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.87%, down from 6.89% last week. The 15-year fixed was 6.09%, up from 6.05% last week.

The graph below shows the trajectory of mortgage rates over the past year.

Freddie Mac was chartered by Congress in 1970 to keep money flowing to mortgage lenders in support of homeownership and rental housing. Their mandate is to provide liquidity, stability, and affordability to the U.S.

The unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped in January – The Department of Labor and Statistics reported that 143,000 new jobs were added in January. While that was a little below expectations, the unemployment rate ticked down to 4% in January from 4.1% in December. The Fed has been trying to slow the economy and hiring to get the job market more balanced. Like everything else, when you have more jobs available than workers looking for jobs, wages go up. Last August the unemployment rate had risen to 4.2% and it seemed that the Fed was achieving its goal of slowing hiring. In September they began lowering rates in fear that the economy was slowing too quickly, but since then the economy has picked up steam and so has hiring, which has caused the unemployment rate to drop. The lower the unemployment rate, the fewer workers there are for available jobs which causes wages to rise. Average hourly wages increased 4.1% year-over-year in January, up from a 3.9% year-over-year increase in December. The Fed is pointing to higher wages as being a large contributor to inflation because more people with more money fuel consumer spending, which pushes prices higher.

Stock markets – The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week at 44,303.40, down 0.5% from 44,544.66 last week. It is up 4.1% year-to-date. The S&P 500 closed the week at 6,025.99, down 0.2% from 6,040.53 last week. The S&P is up 2.4% year-to-date. The Nasdaq closed the week at 19,523.40, down 0.5% from 19,627.44 last week. It is up 1.1% year-to-date.

U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the week yielding 4.49%, down from 4.58% last week. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the week at 4.69%, down from 4.83% last week. We watch bond yields because mortgage rates follow bond yields.

Mortgage rates – Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes interest rates based on a survey of mortgage lenders throughout the week. The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as of February 6, 2025, were as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.89%, down from 6.95% last week. The 15-year fixed was 6.05%, down from 6.12% last week.

The graph below shows the trajectory of mortgage rates over the past year.

Mortgage rates – Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes interest rates based on a survey of mortgage lenders throughout the week. The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as of February 6, 2025, were as follows:

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.89%, down from 6.95% last week. The 15-year fixed was 6.05%, down from 6.12% last week.

The graph below shows the trajectory of mortgage rates over the past year.

Freddie Mac was chartered by Congress in 1970 to keep money flowing to mortgage lenders in support of homeownership and rental housing. Their mandate is to provide liquidity, stability, and affordability to the U.S.

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Round out the week with the top tech headlines from around the globe! From Apple Sports to Waymo and more, we have you covered with this week’s major news in the world of tech. Stay connected and read this week’s blog!

Bookshop.org Expands into Ebooks to Challenge Amazon

Launched in early 2020 as a way to support independent bookstores, Bookshop.org is now expanding into ebooks with a new app for Android, iOS, and the web. The app follows the same model as its physical book sales: customers choose a local bookstore to support, and that store earns a share of the profits. Founder and CEO Andy Hunter sees this as a necessary step in the digital age, challenging Amazon’s dominance over the ebook market, which accounts for 75% of sales. Bookshop.org has secured deals with major publishers and will launch with around a million titles, with plans to support self-published authors soon. A standout feature allows users to share quotes from ebooks directly to social media, making books more discoverable. While a Kindle competitor isn’t on the immediate horizon, Bookshop.org’s entry into ebooks could disrupt the status quo and provide indie bookstores with a much-needed foothold in the digital market.

Vodafone Tests Satellite Video Calls for Standard Smartphones

Vodafone has successfully conducted what it claims is the world’s first satellite video call using a standard smartphone, leveraging AST SpaceMobile’s satellite network to enable 4G and 5G connectivity without specialized hardware. The call, made from a remote mountain region in Wales with no prior mobile coverage, showcased stable—though slightly lagging—video quality. AST SpaceMobile, which has partnerships with Vodafone, AT&T, and Verizon, plans to roll out the service in Europe by late 2025 and in the U.S. thereafter. Unlike existing satellite services on iPhones and Google Pixel devices, which are limited to emergency messaging, Vodafone promises a full mobile broadband experience with speeds up to 120 Mbps. The technology aims to eliminate coverage gaps, offering connectivity even in remote areas and at sea. While SpaceX’s Starlink has also demonstrated satellite video calls, Vodafone’s test highlights its potential for widespread consumer use. Pricing details for the service remain undisclosed, but Vodafone sees it as a major step toward closing the digital divide across Europe.

NASA Finds Building Blocks of Life in Bennu Asteroid Sample

Scientists analyzing the Bennu asteroid sample, which returned to Earth in September 2023, have discovered amino acids and other molecules essential for life. Research published in Nature and Nature Astronomy suggests that conditions necessary for life’s emergence were widespread in the early solar system, supporting theories that key organic compounds may have originated in space. The sample contained 14 of the 20 amino acids used in Earthly proteins, nucleobases for DNA and RNA, and minerals indicating a history of saltwater, which could have facilitated complex chemical reactions. These findings stem from NASA’s OSIRIS-REx mission, which launched in 2016, collected the sample in 2020, and successfully returned it in 2023. While not proof of extraterrestrial life, the discovery strengthens the possibility that life’s ingredients may have formed elsewhere in the cosmos.

Waymo Expands Autonomous Vehicle Testing to 10 New Cities in 2025

Waymo is set to expand its autonomous vehicle testing to 10 new cities in 2025, beginning with Las Vegas and San Diego, as part of an effort to assess how its self-driving system adapts to different environments. While these manually driven test runs won’t necessarily lead to immediate robotaxi launches, they will help refine Waymo’s ability to operate in diverse urban conditions. Las Vegas presents challenges like dense traffic and unconventional road layouts, while San Diego serves as a benchmark for how Waymo’s system performs with minimal prior data. The Alphabet-owned company is focused on “generalizability,” aiming to streamline the process of deploying robotaxis in new cities with minimal testing. Waymo will send fewer than 10 vehicles to each city for a few months, primarily in commercial districts, and will work closely with local officials. With plans for future launches in Austin, Atlanta, and Miami, this expansion signals Waymo’s ambition to scale its autonomous technology nationwide.

Boom Supersonic’s XB-1 Breaks Sound Barrier in Historic Test Flight

Boom Supersonic’s prototype test plane, the XB-1, successfully broke the sound barrier three times during its 12th flight. Likewise, this marks a major milestone for the private aviation company. The 63-foot-long demonstrator aircraft, designed to pave the way for Boom’s planned Overture supersonic airliner, reached Mach 1.1. This achievement makes it the first civil aircraft to go supersonic. This of course distinguishes it from the government-backed Concorde, which last flew in 2003. The flight, lasting 34 minutes, took place in the Bell X-1 Supersonic Corridor, named after the first aircraft to break the sound barrier. Powered by three General Electric J85-15 turbojet engines, the XB-1 serves as a testbed for the Overture. Boom aims to launch the Overture by 2030. The company has already secured over $700 million in funding and orders for a combined 35 aircraft. Overall, this signals growing confidence in the return of commercial supersonic travel.

Apple Sports App Update Adds Faster Navigation, More Soccer Coverage, and TV Listings

Apple has updated its iOS Sports app with improved navigation, expanded soccer coverage, and new broadcast information for games in the U.S. Users can now swipe left or right to quickly browse their followed leagues and teams. In addition, game pages will display details on where to watch live broadcasts, such as NHL Network or TNT. The update also adds coverage for the UK’s FA Cup, EFL Championship, and League Cup. Since its launch in February, Apple Sports has steadily expanded. The app has added NFL and college football tracking, live scores, play-by-play updates, and Key Plays summaries. The latest enhancements continue Apple’s push to make the app a comprehensive hub for sports fans.

Mortgage rates – Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes interest rates based on a survey of mortgage lenders throughout the week. The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as of January 30, 2025, were as follows:

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.95%, down from 6.96% last week. The 15-year fixed was 6.12%, down from 6.16% last week.

The graph below shows the trajectory of mortgage rates over the past year.

Freddie Mac was chartered by Congress in 1970 to keep money flowing to mortgage lenders in support of homeownership and rental housing. Their mandate is to provide liquidity, stability, and affordability to the U.S.