Author: Rodeo Realty Media Team

I had an excellent experience working with Philip! I met him at an open house in Thousand Oaks, and he made a great first impression. He really listened when I told him what I wanted in a home and sent me the current listings matching my criteria. He was always available when I had questions and was able to coordinate visits to the homes I wanted to see (even if it meant going back a second and third time). He was very thorough and transparent and made my first-time home buying experience easy and understandable. He is a kind-hearted, down to earth man and I really appreciated all of his knowledge and professionalism. He was able to get me a great deal on a home and we are so thankful!

– Jenny & Matt Cooper

Hi Syd,

You gave a great meeting today, as usual, featuring a lot of information in a dynamic presentation. Need I say this was a welcome breath of fresh air for me.

I wanted to let you know that one of my goals at the start of this year (apart from the unrealistic one of removing all the clutter in my home) was to fine tune my social media platform. To that end I made contact with Zoe at the Rodeo party at the Sheraton Universal last month, and we set up a strategy to meet at the beginning of this year. We had that appointment this afternoon after the Beverly Hills meeting. I know from your comments at the meeting that you are proud of Zoe from your perspective, but from mine, I’d like to reinforce that.

I was the recipient of a very welcome one-two punch of getting the things on my agenda in order. Zoe and Terry both took time from their schedules to co-ordinate with each other and me, and see what they could do to advance my marketing strategy. The time was well spent. Terry and Zoe both worked with me on improving my Rodeo website with a new photo, and profile, and Terry set up a business page for Facebook and is working on getting a profile to Rodeo’s affiliate alliances. This was time well spent for me. I hope to cover all bases.

I met with Zoe alone after the joint session with her and Terry, we worked on the finer points of Twitter and how to make it work effectively. She provided me with lots of good input, and a few tricks of the trade. I had a twitter account and followers from high sources, however, did not fully understand the whole program. We posted a couple of things and also referenced Rodeo Realty in a tweet. This was a great one-on-one educational exercise.

Upon leaving the office I had a brief chat with the young man at the front desk who was interested in what I was doing. The great thing about the whole afternoon was, there was a lot of give and take. I was the recipient of valuable knowledge and service, and also happened to be able to extend a bit of knowledge and information that seemed to be useful to the staff as well.

My time was spent mostly with Zoe and Terry, I am pleased to say to you that they, as well as other personnel I met today were all worthy of your brand, and you should be proud of them. Everyone was helpful, pleasant, (even cheerful). I received a few email messages later in the afternoon from Zoe to be sure we were on the same page, and asking if I had any other issues to address. That is great follow-up.

Now that I have some new tools, it is up to me to take advantage of my Rodeo Realty social media boot camp and be everywhere all the time.

I am very happy at your company, and tell everyone I know how great it is.

Thank you,

Marcy Braiker

By: Tim Logan

In more than two decades as a real estate agent, Marc Tahler has seen his client base of would-be buyers shift.

He used to see a lot of younger couples, married, maybe with a kid in tow or one on the way.

Lately, though, his buyers are trending a little older, and, kid or no, a lot fewer of them sport a wedding ring.

“I’m seeing more people who aren’t married,” said the agent with Rodeo Realty in Woodland Hills. “Sometimes, it’s a couple where both have been divorced, buying as partners. Or one buys and the other puts some money in. It’s all becoming more common.”

A generation of young people who are getting married later — or not at all — are also taking a different approach to one of the biggest financial decisions most of them will ever make. They no longer see marriage as a prerequisite to a mortgage.

Is there a correlation?

“These key life-stage things impact when we buy, what we buy and where we buy,” said Mollie Carmichael, a principal at John Burns Real Estate Consulting in Irvine. “But … young people today aren’t living by the same rules as 20 or 30 years ago.”

Unmarried couples, same-sex partners, even pairs of roommates going halvesies make up a much bigger chunk of the housing market than they did a generation ago, said Rachel Drew, a researcher at Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies.

“The decline in married couples, among younger buyers, is almost entirely offset by growth in unmarried couples. You’re not actually seeing a decline in two-adult households,” she said. “[Unmarried couples] are much more likely than a single person to buy a home. They’re acting like married couples.”

That’s what Krystle Mangaccat is doing. She and her boyfriend closed this week on a house in Northridge, a single-family home with three bedrooms, 2 1/2 baths and plenty of room for their dogs — and maybe someday their kids.

They’re not married yet, but after four apartments in three years, they were ready to settle in a place of their own, Mangaccat said. And, she said, the choice between using their savings on a down payment or a wedding was kind of a no-brainer.

“We’re practical people,” she said. “A house is a long-term thing. We’d rather spend our money on that than on throwing a big party.”

That’s a choice more couples are making lately, according to a study last year by real estate website Redfin, which notes that the average wedding and honeymoon costs about $35,000, enough for a down payment for many home buyers.

Other would-be house hunters plan to buy regardless of their marital status, like Yvonne Carrasco. The 33-year-old public relations professional has been saving up a down payment for years now. She figures she’s a year or so away, and hopes to buy something in 2016.

These key life-stage things impact when we buy, what we buy and where we buy. But … young people today aren’t living by the same rules as 20 or 30 years ago.

– Mollie Carmichael, a principal at John Burns Real Estate Consulting in Irvine
A house will be something of her own that she could bring to a marriage someday, or an asset for herself.

“I think a lot of people my age have come to the realization that marriage is almost like a bonus. If it happens, great. If it doesn’t, great,” she said. “But it’s important to put yourself in the situation to feel safe and secure.”

And for some, the outlook is that homeownership remains a long way off, marriage aside.

Carlos Garcia is a 31-year-old law student at Santa Clara University. He and his girlfriend are thinking about whether to move back to their native Southern California or stay in the Bay Area after they graduate in 2016.

Either way, Garcia notes, they’re looking at “literally the two most expensive parts of the country.”

With six-figure law school debt and sky-high home prices, he worries that even two attorneys’ salaries may not qualify them for a mortgage in a neighborhood where they want to live.

“I really have no reasonable aspirations of being able to buy a house for probably 10 years,” Garcia said. “It’s disheartening.”

Whatever the reason — fewer marriages or more challenging finances — younger buyers are waiting longer to buy homes. That helped slow the housing market in 2014.

In Southern California, the number of homes sold through November was down 9.8% for the year, to its lowest level since 2011, and well below long-term averages. That’s despite near-record-low interest rates and an improving economy.

Though unmarried couples may be more willing to buy houses together, some still see a marriage as a key driver of homeownership.

“It’s a pretty straightforward link,” said Richard Green, director of USC’s Lusk Center for Real Estate. “Married people buy houses. Single people rent.”

New home loan helps lower-income borrowers build equity quickly
New home loan helps lower-income borrowers build equity quickly
Just 48.7% of California households were headed by married couples in 2013, according to Census Bureau figures, down from 51.1% in 2000, a difference of more than 300,000 households. And those married couples are far more likely to own their house — more than two-thirds do, compared with about 40% of non-married households.

That’s partly a matter of money, he notes. A married couple with two incomes is far better equipped to buy a home in Southern California at a time when the median-priced home in Los Angeles County costs nearly nine times what the average job pays in a year. Marriage makes the math work.

The math can work just as well for unmarried couples, but many continue to grapple with employment and income uncertainty, said Daniel Sanchez, a real estate agent with Partners Trust in Beverly Hills.

Sanchez works with a lot of 30-something buyers who are trying to sort out life changes, moves and jobs that they’re not so sure will last forever. They’re establishing careers later, getting married later, buying houses later.

“The dynamics have completely changed,” said Sanchez, who at 35 is himself a renter and in “no rush” to buy. “Buying a home makes sense if you know you’re going to stay put, but we’re in a totally different time.”

For some, it makes sense whether they’re married or not — though negotiations over whether the house or the ring comes first can be tricky, real estate agent Tahler said.

He knows from personal experience, having just bought a house with his girlfriend of six years. They have a son together and wanted more space. But she hesitated.

“It became a little heated. She almost didn’t want to, specifically because we weren’t married,” Tahler said. “She settled — for the moment. She’s still pushing the marriage, though.”

 

By Victoria Talbot

 

Beverly Hills recorded the highest-priced sale in its history Thursday at $70 million for an 8-bedroom, 15-bath home in Trousdale Estates. Congratulations go to Branden Williams and his wife-and-partner Rayni at Hilton & Hyland. The buyer was represented by Sally Forster Jones, president of Aaroe International Luxury Properties and Katia De Los Reyes of John Aaroe Group.

Purchased by Markus “Notch” Persson, creator of the Minecraft game, interested parties included Beyoncé and Jay-Z, but the Swedish billionaire won the bidding war. Escrow closed in six days.

The just-completed, wrap-around, steel-and-glass, home represents every modern amenity including the exceptional hi-tech appointments that make a home. For Persson, who programmed his father’s home computer at the age of seven and created his first game at eight, this property must be a dream.

John Aaroe said, “I have been in this market for over 30 years and have never seen the level of growth that the luxury market has experienced in the past year, with no end in sight.”

“This was a great product and it’s in the best City in the world, Beverly Hills,” said Branden Williams. “Cool architecture with a 360-degree view of all of downtown and the ocean . . . “

Williams said the product was so good it practically sold itself.

“People come to Beverly Hills and they would like to see something magnificent,” he said. This house is magnificent. According to his standards, Williams says that the indoor-outdoor feel, the stainless steel-frame, glass and hi-tech appointments are what his overseas clients imagine in Beverly Hills. They are looking for the high-end top-of-the food chain architecture personified by this Trousdale home.

This home was unique. In addition to all the architectural features, the 90210-zip code and the Trousdale location, this one has the 360-degree view, which cannot be beat.

“This house was 23,000 square feet with beautiful views, bedrooms and amenities. There is not a lot of inventory like that,” said Williams.

Just completed, the residence’s architect was Bruce Makowsky, he of the famed handbag line sold on QVC.

Located at 1181 Hillcrest Drive, the house is certainly in a good neighborhood. Area residents include Jennifer Anniston, Ringo Star and when he was alive, Elvis, said Williams.

Among the legendary features toilets (15) at $5,600 each; an 18-seat screening room with lizard-skin walls, a wall of onyx, iPad controlled fountains and a 54-foot curved-glass wall that slides open to an infinity pool that drops off into the L.A. Basin. Williams calls the mirrored subterranean garage a “garage-majal.” One room features a wall made of every kind of candy in dispensers floor-to-ceiling, a sweet way to charm one’s guests.

“Its the perfect 23,000 square foot bachelor pad,” said Sally Forster Jones.

Peerson has a twit-pic making the internet rounds of someone’s feet, presumably his, resting on the divan in what appears to be the house.

“He’s a really sweet guy,” said Forster. She confirmed that all the furniture is one-of-a-kind, custom-built for the house, including the “Bentley chairs” for the living room.

“The house just has a lot of ‘wow’ factors.”

Makowsky took a risk, and it paid off. The property was bought just prior to the real estate spike, at $12.8 million and developed on spec. It is now worth between $3-4,000 a square foot.

What a gamble. “That’s the highest price per square foot, not only in California, but in the entire country,” said Williams.

The $70 million sale was listed by Ben Bacal of Rodeo Realty. Bacal sold the property to Bruce Makowsky during the market downturn for $12.8 million, but was convinced, he said, that the property was worth more. He represented both the buyer and the seller at the time.

“Now the lot alone would be worth $37 million,” said Bacal. I predicted that it was going to be worth a lot more.”

“Makowsky has a vision to create the ultimate turn-key mega mansions for the 4,000 or so billionaires in the world who want the best contemporary view properties in Los Angeles.” Bacal says that these properties are undervalued compared to comparable  properties elsewhere in the world, a view shared by many.

“This is the last promontory view property to buy in Trousdale,” he pointed out. That is what made it so valuable. “There aren’t that many. There’s not a lot of great land left anywhere in the Golden Triangle. It is significantly undervalued to live in the most incredible place in the world.” He sees values rising to $4-5-6,000 per square foot among those lots.

Makowsky has big plans, said Ben. Currently he is developing three more properties, including two in Beverly Hills at 80,000 and 70,000 square feet each. The third is in Bel Air and is 40,000 square feet. “These will top $150 million,” he said.

“He personally finances all of his developments,” said Bacal, who expects to list these properties with Ben Bacal.

When the home was purchased, the Minecraft creator also purchased all of the furniture for $6 million.

 

Buying a new home was such a wonderful experience with Gitty. We met Gitty while looking for homes in the valley. She wasn’t a referral nor did we know her at all prior to doing business! But when we met her, she got our contact information and quickly followed up with us. We immediately felt comfortable with her and got a sense that she would take care of us. Gitty is not your typical realtor, meaning she won’t sell you a house just to get a commission. She really asked us about our current needs and future goals. She showed us houses that are well below our minimum range, but had good potential because she knows that my husband us a DIY guy and cautioned us when we were looking at houses that were well above our price range. She looked out for our best interest and made sure we were buying a home that was right for us. And we did buy the home that was right for us. We love our new home! It’s in the perfect location and perfect for my growing family.

Gitty is not your typical realtor. She is more of a consultant who really looks after your best interest. She’s very professional and genuinely caring. You would want her on your side when buying or selling your home.

– Bernice Brennan

This year marked a great year for real estate as far as price increases, the ability for sellers to sell, and for realtors to get homes sold.

The big problem that seems to have evaded a lot of chatter is the number of homes sold. Home sales each month this year have averaged about 14% below levels for the same monthly average since DataQuick began tracking sales in 1988. If you think about how many more homes there are every year, and how much larger the population is, it defies logic to gave fewer sales than 25 years ago!

This has nothing to do with buyer demand, or their ability to qualify for a mortgage, or even jobs. That’s evident with almost three quarters of our home sales in which there are multiple offers. It’s also displayed in the home inventory levels. A 6 to 7 month supply is considered a normal market. We are at a 3 1/2 month supply. We were trending up in August but that trend has reversed dramatically in the last 90 days.

The million dollar questions are: “Why are so few sellers putting their homes up for sale? And “When will this trend reverse”? No expert has any explication.

We do know that first time landlords are at an all time high level. This began when prices were low and people were buying a new home while renting out their current home, waiting for prices to rebound. Now prices have rebounded and they are still keeping them rented. Low interest rates have also contributed. Many people are able to pull money out of their current home and rent it rather than sell. A one million dollar mortgage today can carry a $2,600 a month payment on a 3 or 5 year fixed. That enables people to borrow more. We know this is one of these issues, but that alone can not explain how we could be near at 25 year low in the number of sales as DataQuick reported in November.

The next issue is the loss of stated income loans. Many homeowners that would sell and buy another are self employed and write off too much to qualify for a home and need to stay in their old home that they bought and financed before 2007. Although a few lenders do have stated, they are hard to get and much more expensive. Mortgage reform pretty much put an end to these loans as verifying income was required on owner occupied loans.

Lastly, many people think they won’t qualify for a loan when they would. In a recent study two thirds of people that thought they would not qualify really would. Perhaps many homeowners that would move up are not because they feel they can’t qualify for a new home if they sold their current home.

This trend may reverse a little in 2015 as people that rented homes sell to take profit because they feel the market may be topping out. We could see some more stated loan options as lenders push for more ways to loan out money, as this trend of fewer sales has hurt them as well. Some that had no equity for a down payment in recent years that now do, combined with lower down payment options from lenders, will also help. I’d expect to see more sales in 2015 than 2014, but unfortunately below average levels. This will also place more upward pressure on prices. Expect to see prices rise another 7 to 10%. Anytime you have more buyers than sellers you are going to see prices rising!

By: Syd Leibovitch

By: Tim Logan

After a furious run-up in home prices in 2013, the Southern California housing market flattened out this year — setting the stage for slow but steady growth next year.

The 2015 housing market could be downright normal by the roller-coaster standards of local real estate, industry watchers said. Experts expect a better balance between buyers and sellers, and more sales.
That would be a change from the sluggish summer and fall seasons, when would-be buyers and sellers both opted out of the market, leaving prices basically flat since May. Sales are on pace to fall 10% this year over last year.

The economy is doing better and [mortgage interest] rates are still really low, but it looks like housing affordability is keeping a damper on things.- Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist for the California Assn. of Realtors

That trend continued in November, according to figures out Monday from CoreLogic DataQuick. The median home price in the six-county region was $412,000, up 7% from the same month last year but basically unchanged from October. The number of homes sold was near a 25-year-low for the month.

Many experts had predicted 2014 would be the year when so-called regular buyers finally jumped back into the market — picking up from bargain-hunting investors that swarmed Southern California after the housing crash.
It didn’t work out that way, despite an improving economy, record-low interest rates and a push from Washington to ease lending standards. Prices remained too high for many buyers.

“We kind of got the signals wrong. A lot of people did,” said Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist for the California Assn. of Realtors. “The economy is doing better and [mortgage interest] rates are still really low, but it looks like housing affordability is keeping a damper on things.”

That’s especially true in Southern California, where home price growth has sprinted ahead of income growth over the last couple of years. If the Southland’s housing market is ever going to pick up speed, said Andrew LePage, a data analyst with CoreLogic DataQuick, more people need to be earning more money.
“Job growth and wage growth is going to matter a lot,” LePage said. “And not just getting a job, but feeling good about it and getting a raise.”

A stronger job market could certainly help boost demand, economists say. But even then, income growth is unlikely to keep pace with home prices. The California Assn. of Realtors is predicting prices will grow 5.2% statewide next year, the slowest pace since 2011.
Although the market may normalize, it will continue to evolve. Here are a few other developments to watch for in 2015:

The number of homes for sale has run well below historical norms in recent years, pushing prices up, sparking bidding wars and giving would-be buyers relatively little from which to choose.
“This has been a drastic problem,” said Syd Leibovich, chief executive of Rodeo Realty, one of the region’s largest brokerages. “I think it’s the biggest issue facing the market right now.”

That may change, however. Owners have regained equity in their homes, and prices have rebounded to the point that selling may make sense for more people.
A survey by real estate website Trulia found 36% of people expect 2015 to be a better year to sell than 2014 was, while only 16% expect it to be worse. If more of those people test the waters, the market could start running smoothly once more, said Trulia’s chief economist, Jed Kolko.

 

The half of L.A. residents who rent may get a little relief.
Apartment construction in Los Angeles and Orange counties has surged recently, with more multifamily building permits issued so far in 2014 than in any year since 2006. Builders are chasing rents that have climbed sharply in the last few years, and a bulge of twentysomethings who are finally moving out of their parents’ houses and into their first apartments.

The pace of building is still far below the boom days of the mid-80s, and USC’s Lusk Center for Real Estate is still forecasting annual rent growth of about 4% over the next couple of years. But all those new units coming on the market will at least give tenants more options.
“A big question for 2015 is whether that new rental supply will be enough to keep rents in check,” Kolko said. “Right now, it’s a race between strong demand from millennials and more supply from the apartment construction boom.”

Inland Empire strikes back
The dynamics that pushed home buyers to the Inland Empire in droves last decade are developing once more.
The median home price in Riverside County last month was $305,000 — one-third lower than the $455,000 in Los Angeles County and barely half the $585,000 found in Orange County. That bodes well for points east, said John Husing, an economist who studies the Inland Empire.

“A huge portion of the coastal counties market is priced out of the ability to buy a home,” Husing said. “Those are the facts that have always driven the market inland before.”
So far this cycle, that hasn’t happened much. Builders have been slow to develop new subdivisions in the bust-scarred Inland Empire. Tougher post-crash lending restrictions have crimped buyers there.
Now, though, building permits are ticking upward. A few big projects are getting underway, especially along I-15 in western Riverside County.

Husing is optimistic that lower down-payment requirements being rolled out by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will help more buyers. As prices keep climbing on the coast, he predicts, more and more people will swallow the commute. It just might take them some time.
“2015 will be better than ’14, which was better than ’13,” Husing said. “By 2016 or 2017, I think we’re more likely to see a market that we think of as normal

Dear Joni-

Thank you so much for your service in selling out Parents home in Encino.

As you know, I am managing 20 apartment buildings which is a full time job and more. The way you jumped in to handle the inspections, repairman, appraiser and staging was way beyond the call of duty and saved me countless hours of having to coordinate all that myself

 

 

 

.

 

 

With all the buying and selling of property that I do for a living, I am quite shocked you were not only able to get the coordination of the lender and buyer, but were actually able to close on time with both parties not ready to shoot each other.

My parents would be most pleased that you were able to find such a wonderful family to take over our family home.

 

Should you need to reach me, please contact me at any time on my cell phone listed above.
Thank you,
Gary Gillman & Nancy Manning

November 2014 Month End Economic Update

 

Another record breaking month for US stocks  – The US stock markets posted their sixth straight week of gains with new highs. Dropping oil prices were the source of big news this week, and month. Lower energy prices are causing low inflation. Many experts predict that inflation will remain extremely tame for a long period of time partly as a result of OPEC’s decision to keep oil production at its current high level. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week at 17,828.24 above last weeks close of 17,810.06 , and  up from the October 31 close of 17,390.52. The S&P 500 closed Friday at 2057.56 below last Friday’s close of 2063.50, and up from October 31’s close of 2018.05. The NASDAQ closed at 4791.63 above last weeks close of 4712.97, and above last month’s close of 4630.74.

 

Consumer Price Index- The Bureau of Labor Statics reported that prices remained flat in October. The year over year CPI increase showed the inflation rate at 1.7%, well below the Federal Reserve’s target rate for a healthy economy. The Fed released its minutes on November 19 from its October meeting. In the minutes it cautioned of “evidence of a possible downward shift in long term inflation expectations.”

 

Treasury Bond Rates – The 10 year Treasury bond closed the week at 2.18% below last week’s 2.31%. It began the month at 2.36%. The 30 year treasury yield was 2.89% Friday, down from last week’s 3.02% and well below 3.07% at the start of November.

 

Low Inflation – The US Consumer Price Index showed the year over year inflation rate at just 1.7%, well below the Federal Reserve’s target rate. Europe and Asia are also experiencing very low inflation. This is causing worldwide rates to drop. Our rates are well below comparable time period securities of other countries, holding rates low and causing treasuries with longer terms to drop in rate. These directly affect mortgage rates. Much of this low inflation is due to dropping energy costs as oil prices have plummeted.

 

Oil prices- In the past few months the price of a barrel of oil has dropped from over $100 per barrel to under $70 per barrel. The cost at the pump has dropped on average 88 cents a gallon since July to a US average of $2.82. California prices are a little higher. This brings gas prices to the lowest levels since 2009.

 

Mortgage Rates – The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported that the 30 year fixed mortgage rate average for the week was 3.97%. The 15 year fixed was 3.17%.

 

US jobs – In October employers added 214,000 jobs and the unemployment rate was 5.8%. The November figures will be released at the end of next week.

 

California jobs – California gained 41,500 non-farm jobs in October. The California unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.3%. November figures will be released in the 3^rd week of December.

 

California Association of Realtors –   The LA region had a median price of $477,000, down 1.6% below September’s $486,030 and up 6.8% from the $447,130 one year ago. There was a 3.3 month supply in October 2013. It must be noted that CAR figures do not include sales that were not reported to a MLS system. CAR figures for November will be out around the 3^rd week of December.

 

Pending home sales were up in October – CAR reported their Pending Home Sale Index last week. Pending home sales in October were up 2% from September. This was the second straight month of rising pending sales which is an indicator that the November sales figures will show an increase as these transactions close.  

 

Consumer Confidence – Consumer confidence rose to a 7 year high according to the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index. This was fueled by dropping gas prices, increases in employment, and rising stock prices. It also led to increases in projections in the holiday retail sales expectations.

 

New home sales rise- The Commerce Department reported that US new home sales in October rose 0.7% from September.

 

I have seen a good pickup in activity. It seems that the real estate market has picked up at a time of year that it usually slows down. Inventory levels have dropped after increasing throughout the year. This is causing more multiple offers. We are also seeing homes that sat for a while beginning to sell. Some with multiple offers after not seeing an offer for several weeks! I would not be surprised to see prices surge in the near future! I am sure that lower interest rates are having an impact. It now looks like rates may remain low for longer than expected. Every expert had expected them to rise. Now that gas prices have plummeted and inflation has been so tame the expectations are for rates to remain low!

 

I hope you are having a Happy Thanksgiving Weekend!

 

Syd