Author: Rodeo Realty Media Team

L.A. County’s unemployment rate in February fell to 8.7% (from 8.9% in January) with employers adding 27,700 jobs to their payrolls (they lost 63,000 jobs in January). A year ago the rate was 10.2%. The statewide unemployment rate in February was 8%. Los Angeles and Long Beach both had 9.8% unemployment. Over the past 12 months, employers in L.A. County have added 86,000 jobs to their payrolls, for a growth rate of 2.1%.

It was a mostly down week in the markets. Friday saw a boost from the news that consumer spending rose in February at the fastest rate in several months, up 0.3% last month on a seasonally adjusted basis. Americans spent more money on health care and utilities but purchases of durable goods fell for the third month in a row. Also personal income rose 0.3% in March and the U.S. savings rate hit a four-month high of 4.3% from 4.2% in January. Inflation-adjusted disposable income was up 0.3%, the biggest advance in five months. The Dow rose this week to 16,323.06 up 0.13% from last week’s close of 16,302.70. The Nasdaq however dropped to 4,155.76 down -2.83% from last week’s close of 4,276.79 led by a plunge in biotech stocks. This was the worst week for the Nasdaq since October 2012. The S&P 500 also fell, ending the week at 1,857.62, down -0.47% from last week’s 1,866.40 close.

The ongoing effect of the Fed’s remarks last week continued to be felt on interest rates. The Freddie Mac Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey showed that the 30-year-fixed rate rose  to 4.40%, the rate was 4.32% last week. The 15-year-fixed rose to 3.42% from last week’s 3.32%.  A year ago the 30-year fixed was at 3.57% and the 15-year was at 2.76%.

The 10 year treasury bond yield ended the week at 2.73%. It was 2.75% last Friday.

The Commerce Department reported that sales of new U.S. single-family homes fell -3.3% in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 440,000 units which is the lowest level seen since last September. The rate was down -1.1% compared to February 2013. Sales fell -15.9% in the West. January’s sales were also revised downward to a 445,000-unit pace from a 468,000-unit pace. Some of the slowdown continues to be blamed on unusually cold weather but economists are predicting a rush on homes as household formation begins to accelerate again with the improving economy.  Inventory is at a 5.2 month supply, the highest level since December 2010. The median price of a new home was down -1.2% from February 2013.

Consumer confidence rose to its highest level in more than six years. The Conference Board indexrose to 82.3 in March compared to 78.3 the previous month. Consumers expect the economy to continue to strengthen and are showing optimism that both business conditions and the labor market will improve over the next six months.

The composite 20-city S&P/Case-Shiller home price index  was up 13.2% in January from a year earlier with all 20 cities showing year-over-year gains.  Prices in the 20-city index were 0.1% lower than the prior month, but that is mostly due to the cold winter throughout much of the country,  adjusted for seasonal variations, prices were 0.8% higher month-over-month.  For the Los Angeles metro area, prices were up 18.5% year over year and down -0.3% month over month (but up 0.4% once seasonally adjusted).

The National Association of Realtors^® reported that its seasonally adjusted pending home sales index was down -0.8% to 93.9., it was down -10.5% from February 2013. A combination of cold weather, higher mortgage rates, and limited inventory have cramped the market but most economists are expecting a spring rebound.

The California Association of  Realtors^®  however saw that pending sales were up in February, jumping 14.2% from January but down -12% from last February. The index rose from 84.8 in January to 96.8 in February and was 110.1 in February 2013. Distressed sales continue to be a smaller part of the market. Equity sales were up statewide, increasing to 85% from January’s 84.4%. In Los Angeles, single-family distressed sales were 14% of the market compared to 16% in January and 32% one year ago.

Next week will be a big week for economic news. Perhaps the most telling report that could impact interest rates is the jobs report which will come out at the end of next week. Expect rates to rise on a good report, 180,000 new jobs or more. Expect rates to remain stable at 160,000 or so, and if the report comes in much lower rates could drop! Good news for the economy is bad news for interest rates ( they rise), and bad economic news is good news for rates ( they fall).

Locally we are seeing a spring surge in prices. we are not seeing as many new listings as we would usually see in March, but I would expect many more in the next few months!

Recently noted architectural lecturer Eleanor Schrader Schapa met with Rodeo Realty agents for an inspiring morning full of architectural history and information. While naysayers in other areas may say that Los Angeles lacks culture, the opposite is true especially when it comes to great architecture. The architecture of Los Angeles reflect the city’s role as home to many different cultures. There are two main periods that influence much of architectural style in the area. The first is of course the mission period. Missions were established in Southern California partly to keep others, including Russian fur traders, from making a land grab. The oldest standing house in Los Angeles is the Avila Adobe, built in 1818 and now open as a museum. The classic adobe walls are several feet thick. In 1850 Phineas Banning established the Port of Los Angeles. Like many new arrivals he brought the styles from the East Coast with him. His home, in Wilmington, California, is also now a museum and reflects the Greek Revival style that was popular at the time.

Los Angeles has attracted many different styles of buildings. Although there are some excellent examples of Victorian and Italianate architecture throughout the city, the style doesn’t quite reflect how people in this area prefer to live, in larger open rooms with plenty of light and space. The restrictive nature of Victorian homes and the ornate syle of Beaux Arts led to the response that was the arts and Crafts movement. Arts and Crafts was a return to simplicity, to styles that were considered to be more organic and of the earth. Famed furniture maker Gustave Stickley espoused this view in his magazine, The Craftsman. Sears took the idea of Stickley’s floor plans and designs and sold a variety of kits that contained everything necessary to build the home of your dreams.

The Art Deco period was also a time of the flowering of Los Angeles as the movie industry moved from New Jersey to Los Angeles. This time period saw a variety of styles, in particular the Spanish Revival with red tile roofs and thick adobe walls. Schapa pointed out two very interesting features about these homes. The first is that those red tiles that are often on the roofs of these homes actually get their curved shapes from clay being shaped over the workers’ thighs. The second is that the particularly pointed yet wide arch seen in many of these homes including the Adamson House, is actually not a Gothic arch but is instead a donkey arch, named for a type of arch popular in Mexican architecture that gets its name from the room needed to pass a rider and donkey laden with packages through it.

Although we have a variety of styles here, from the cutesy charms of  English Tudor, French Normandy and Storybook homes to the sleek lines of Streamline Moderne and International style, Southern California is probably most famous for its mid-century moderns. The Case Study homes including the Eames house and the Schulman-photographed Stahl house represented the start of something amazing, a new view of home architecture for the post-war era.  These angular beauties, with their minimalist lines and ample use of glass usher in the era of the Los Angeles lifestyle. Schapa touched upon the popularity of the ranch home as seen at the time both on television and in the pages of Sunset magazine. It was the age of the martini, the wide-bodied American car, the swimming pool, and the nuclear family.

Los Angeles uniquely seems to embrace all styles. As with food, culture, art, and more, we seem to have room enough for all of it. It’s a major part of what makes this such a fascinating place to live and work. Schapa’s lecture reminded all agents not just of the beauty of the homes they see every day but of the rich legacy they represent.