September marked a turbulent month for stocks – Stocks rallied on the last day of September to end the month lower, but much better than they were during the month. At one point, markets were down approximately 10% for the month. Much of the turmoil this month centered around a new round of stimulus. It was widely felt that a coronavirus stimulus package was a done deal in late August. The size and scope of that stimulus were in the range of $2-trillion to $3-trillion. It was felt that a package was days away. All stock markets hit all-time record highs in August. As prospects of a deal on the stimulus package began to fade, stocks began to drop. Over the last few days of September, a new round of negotiations between Democrats, Republicans, and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin have produced results that lead investors to feel a deal is near, and stocks have climbed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the month at 27,781.70, down 2.3% from 28,430.05 last month. The S&P 500 closed the month at 3,363.01, down 4.1% from 3,500.31 last month. The NASDAQ closed the week at 11,167.31, down 5.2% from 11,775.46 last month.
U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the month yielding 0.69%, down from 0.72%, last month. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the month at 1.46%, down slightly from 1.49% last month. Mortgage rates – The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey released on October 1, 2020 reported mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate average was 2.88%, down from 2.91% last month. The 15-year fixed was 2.36%, down from 2.56% last month. The 5-year ARM was 2.90%, nearly unchanged from 2.91% last month. The U.S. economy added 1.37 million jobs in August – The Department of Labor Statistics reported that employers added 1.37 million jobs in August. While that number slightly exceeded expectations, approximately 250,000 were temporary census workers hired by the federal government, so the report was pretty much what analysts expected. The unemployment rate dropped to 8.4% in August from 10.2% in July. August’s unemployment rate was the lowest since March 2020. The unemployment rate in February was 3.6% but I surged in March and April when it peaked at 14.7%. This was due to the government-ordered shutdown of the economy because of the Coronavirus pandemic. While 24.2 million people are still not working, who’s employers have either shut down or reduced staff, the economy is still on a positive track. Home sales figures are released in the third week of the month for the previous month. These are August’s results. California’s existing-home sales and prices hit a record high in August – The California Association of Realtors announced that existing, single-family home sales totaled 465,400 in August on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. That marked a month-over-month increase of 16.3% from the number of sales in July. Year-over-year sales were up 14.6% from August 2019’s 406,100 sales on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. The state-wide median price also hit a record high. It was $706,900, up 6.3% from $666,320 in July. Year-over-year the median price increased by 14.5% from $617,410 last August. That marked the steepest year over-year-increase in the median price since March 2014 when home prices were recovering from steep drops during the Great Recession financial crisis. The median price is the point at which one half the homes sell for more and one half sell for less. Historic low-interest rates with 30-year fixed at or under 3% have increased buyer demand, and very low inventory levels have created competition and pushed prices up. The unsold inventory index in August held steady at a 2.1-month supply. That was unchanged from July, but down from a 3.2-month supply one year ago. A 5-6-month supply is considered a normal market, but we have not seen that high of an inventory rate for many years. The index indicates the number of months it would take to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current rate of sales. The graph below indicates the number of sales and median prices for counties in Southern California. The graph below indicates results from Southern California by county.
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Spooky October Events
Halloween is not canceled this year! We have rounded up some Halloween-Specific Events for the family to enjoy socially distant from others. Book early before they are all sold out!
Haunt’oween LA Halloween Drive-through
When: October 9 – October 31
Tickets: www.hauntoweenla.com
Where: Westfield Promenade (6100 Topanga Canyon Blvd)
Trick or treating will look a little different this year, but that doesn’t mean you can’t get the whole family together for a drive-through experience to get spooky. Coming to Woodland Hills on October 9, a new Haunt’oween L.A. event promises jack-o’-lantern tunnels, pumpkin picking, family-friendly sights and even a bit of “door-to-door” trick or treating—all socially distanced, of course. The entire experience runs between 25 and 35 minutes and costs $70 per car. You’ll find it at 6100 Topanga Canyon Boulevard on the site of the former Westfield Promenade. Tickets are on sale now.
Nights of the Jack
When: October 1 – November 1
Tickets: www.nightsofthejack.com
Where: Calabasas
Cruise across the grounds of the scenic King Gillette Ranch as the Santa Monica Mountains hideaway is illuminated with thousands of hand-carved jack-o’-lanterns. Nights of the Jack returns this year with a drive-through edition, with timed tickets required each night. Expect to spend about 25 minutes on the mile-long trail, and just a heads up that there will be no food or beverages for sale, nor will bathrooms be available.
Disney+ Drive In Festival
When: Oct 6 – Oct 11
Tickets: https://www.showclix.com/event/disney-drive-in
Where: Santa Monica Barker Hangar
Want to watch some Disney classics somewhere other than your couch but you don’t have a subscription to Disney+? Allow this free drive-in movie series at Santa Monica’s Barker Hangar to help. The early October series starts and ends with a pair of invite-only Disney+ original premieres (astronaut series The Right Stuff and music drama Clouds) but in the middle you’ll find a decades-spanning mix of open-to-the-public classics: Tangled, Coco, Star Wars: The Empire Strikes Back, a Halloween-themed Hocus Pocus screening, a sing-a-long edition of The Sound of Music, and Captain Marvel. Free reservations open up on Monday, September 28 at 10am, but capacity is “extremely limited” (we’d say the fact that the ticketing page already leads to a virtual queue probably tells you everything you need to know about the demand for tickets). Each reservation is good for one vehicle with up to four guests.
Huluween Drive-In
When: Oct 22 – Oct 25
Tickets: https://1iota.com/show/1143/huluween-drive-in
Where: Los Angeles Equestrian Center, Griffith Park
Drive through a haunted forest and catch screenings of a pair of new horror movies as well as a mix of old classics. Hulu is taking over the L.A. Equestrian Center for some spooky screenings ahead of Halloween, including its new originals Bad Hair and Books of Blood, plus favorites like Hocus Pocus, Beetlejuice, I Know What You Did Last Summer and Carrie (as well as an opening and closing night set from DJ D-Nice). As for that forest, all we know is that it doesn’t include jump scares, but that it’s at least spooky enough that Hulu says it’s not suitable for young children, and that a bypass option is available. Tickets are totally free but very limited (capped at 150 cars per screening). Also, just a heads up that ticket requests don’t guarantee admission.
Streaming: Disney+ Halloween Themed Movies
It’s no secret that Disney Plus has the best kids’ movies. Among the vast collection of films in the popular streaming service’s library—storybook fairytales, animated blockbusters, favorite shows, teen musicals, and more—you’ll also find holiday favorites, including age-appropriate Halloween movies for kids. Check out this list of wholesome Halloween Movies that are perfect for the family!
Hocus Pocus
This 1993 movie about three wacky 300-year-old witches—the Sanderson sisters—is truly a Halloween classic. After three teens accidentally bring the trio back on Halloween, the witches are “running amuck” and literally digging up old friends from the past. The star-studded cast includes Bette Midler, Sarah Jessica Parker, and Kathy Najimy.
The Haunted Mansion
Funny man Eddie Murphy stars in this spooky tale of a real estate agent who, along with his wife and two children, try to rescue a historic haunted mansion from its cursed existence.
The Nightmare Before Christmas
Pumpkin King Jack Skellington is bored with himself and the same ol’, same ol’ “scare tactics” of Halloween. He sets his sights on the new enchanting world of Christmas, but his spooky spin on the holiday doesn’t go over so well. This movie from Tim Burton, of Beetlejuice and Batman fame, was at the forefront of 3-D animation in 1993.
Halloweentown High
When a supernatural teen who comes from a family of witches brings some monster friends (think ogres and gremlins) into her “mortal world” high school disguised as foreign exchange students, her school—and her magic—is threatened by an evil enemy. This movie is the third of the Halloweentown series.
Coco
A little boy who dreams of becoming the greatest musician of all time is told “no music!” his whole life. It’s not until he ends up in the Land of the Dead among his ancestors and makes a most unexpected friend that his family story unfolds.
Home Tips: Fall Preparations Before Winter
Let’s start with Indoor Maintenance… go around your house and look for areas of deterioration.
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Now that we’ve covered some inside tasks let’s move to the outside…With rain and wind comes a lot of leaves everywhere. Make sure you clean up your landscape so water can easily get down through away from your house. Gutters and Downspouts |
Keep your gutters and downspouts clear of any leaves and other debris. This keeps water from collecting in different areas of the house like the roof and near the foundation of the house. You want to make sure water drains away from your home. Downspouts should move run off at least 3 feet from the foundation. Your goal is to make sure water doesn’t sit by your home‘s foundation |
Trees, Plants, and Bush |
You will need to observe your trees and cut any limbs that are too close to your roof as well as any branches that look dead or loose. Trim your trees before the winter rain comes to avoid falling or shedding limbs from high winds damaging your home. Give your plants, bushes, and your flowers some warmth by adding some mulch to the base as well as throughout the flowerbeds.
If you live in a townhouse or a condo it’s a good time to pack up your patio and store anything that could get damaged or moldy during winter. Most buildings have separate detached storage that is often on the ground floor of the parking structure or parking lot. Many times, these areas can collect water if they aren’t in covered parking and damage stored items. Prior to winter, it’s a good idea to go through your storage and organize your items while putting away your packed summer items and patio furniture that can get damaged if displayed during winter. It may seem like a long list of items to keep track of but just like a car’s oil change or an annual doctor’s check-up, maintaining your home before winter will save you a lot of money in negligent expenses. In taking these steps to really observe and address your home needs you will further become acquainted with your home and learn what tools and supplies you will need to have around the house as a homeowner. |
Economic update for the week ending September 26, 2020
U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the week yielding 0.66%, down slightly from 0.70% last week. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the week at 1.40% down from 1.45% last week.
Mortgage rates – The September 24, 2020, Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate average was 2.90%, unchanged from 2.87% last week. The 15-year fixed was 2.40%, unchanged from 2.37% last week. The 5-year ARM was 2.90%, down from 2.96% last week.
U.S. existing-home sales and prices soared in August – The National Association of Realtors reported that U.S. existing-home sales hit 6 million in August on a seasonally adjusted yearly basis. The number of homes sold in August was 10.5% higher than August 2019. That marked the highest number of homes sold in a month since December 2006. Prices also surged. Nationally the median price paid for a home jumped 11.4% from one year ago.
Streaming: Fall Movies on Netflix
So much happens in the fall: School kicks off in September, we dress up for Halloween in October, and then celebrate Thanksgiving in November. In between all the layering up in cozy sweaters and downing pumpkin spice lattes, some relaxation time is much needed. So take some time off from all the pumpkin carving and back-to-school madness, and queue up a movie on Netflix that fits the cozy-up, fall theme.
E.T
Steven Spielberg’s iconic sci-fi film is the ultimate pick for snuggling up on the couch. This heartwarming film centered around two unlikely friends will surely put you in the right mood this leaf-falling season.
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Brad Pitt is front and center in this one-of-a-kind romantic drama. The acclaimed actor stars as Benjamin Button, a man who mysteriously ages in reverse.
Casper
This might be the year you introduce your kids to Casper the friendly ghost, or just revisit the movie on your own. While a paranormal expert is on the hunt for scary ghosts in a haunted house, his daughter is shocked to find a new friend.
Julie & Julia
Following the lives of two real women, Julie Powell and Julia Child, this film shows how their lives become intertwined. At a time when everything is falling apart, Julie seeks comfort in blogging about her experience cooking through Child’s cookbook. Prepare to get inspired, weepy, and hungry while watching this one.
About Time
To us, fall movies on Netflix are best viewed with cozy blankets and a hot cup of cocoa. The best complement to those accoutrements is a romantic movie, like Rachel McAdams’s time-traveling film About Time.
LA & Valley Eats: Pumpkin Everything!
We have officially crossed the September 21st date threshold, and have entered fall. Huge trends during the fall are dressing up in warmer clothes, switching your drink order from iced to hot, and well… anything pumpkin. We have rounded up a list of pumpkin food items you must try if pumpkin is your jam! Happy fall!
Huckleberry Cafe – Santa Monica
What to order: Pumpkin Pie
It doesn’t get much more classic than pumpkin pie. There are plenty of spots to get a good slice around town, but we’re partial to the pumpkin pie at Huckleberry, a fantastic spin featuring all the flavors your nostalgic soul craves.
Pizzana – Brentwood
What to order: Pumpkin Budino
The dessert menu at the pizzeria shares pastry chef and co-founder Candace Nelson with another little sweets shop you may know called Sprinkles. This fall treat combines silky pumpkin budino pudding with a dollop of sweet whipped mascarpone and a brittle of candied pumpkin seeds.
Crossroads Kitchen – Beverly Grove
What to order: Kabocha Squash Ravioli with Pepitas
Not all pumpkin dishes have to be sweets. In this dish, toasted pumpkin seeds are used to add an extra layer of texture to a creamy—but vegan—dish of housemade ravioli stuffed with kabocha squash and harissa. The pasta is a limited-edition menu item only available this autumn.
Sweet Rose Creamery – Studio City
What to order: Pumpkin Bon Bons
Sweet Rose Creamery has multiple seasonal offerings that all start with their spiced pumpkin ice cream, including a Halloween-themed sundae topped with little ghost marshmallows, but we’re picking the bon bons as our treat of choice. Mini scoops of ice cream, dipped in a fall jacket of Guittard dark chocolate, on sticks, because any food is better when you can eat it on a stick.
Creme Caramel L.A. – Sherman Oaks
What to order: Kabocha Pumpkin Spice Latte
No orange chemical goo in this latte! Créme Caramel L.A. roasts kabocha squash with all the nutmeg, cinnamon, and other spices you crave to create a flavorful syrup, then adds espresso, condensed milk, and salted caramel to complete the delicious drink.
Cinnaholic – Echo Park & Woodland Hills
What to order: Pumpkin Pie Cinnamon Rolls
What could be more decadent than a pumpkin pie cinnamon roll? Maybe one that comes from a bakery that lets you add your choice of any of 20 frosting flavors (we think maple or chai sound like good matches, but you decide) and 22 ice cream parlor-style toppings from pie crust crumbs to chocolate chips. At least these seasonal sugar bombs are 100 percent vegan because at least that sounds kind of healthy.
Outdoor Events To Kickoff Autumn
Let’s kickoff Autumn on the the right foot. As we adjust to life during a pandemic, there is only so much we can do outdoors. If you feel comfortable, we have rounded up some events across Los Angeles, the Valleys, and Orange County. Check them out!
Malibu Bike Tours
Where: Saddlerock Ranch
When: Now thru Dec 31, 2020
Pedal your way past vineyards and toward mountain backdrops during this bike tour and wine tasting at Saddlerock Ranch. You’ll do all of the pedaling first, with some light refreshments provided along the way, and then wrap up the hour-and-a-half guided tour with a flight of four two-ounce pours of Saddlerock wines. The two-mile route tackles mostly flat terrain, but the bikes are equipped with electric assist if you need a little extra help with the pedals; helmets are required (and will be provided). In case the wine didn’t tip you off, you must be 21 or older to make a reservation, and eight spots are available per time slot.
Heritage Square Museum Self-Guided Walking Tours
Where: Heritage Square Museum, Montecito Heights
When: September 25, 2020 – October 9, 2020
See L.A. as it looked over a century ago with a walk around Heritage Square, a collection of beautiful Victorian-era houses from L.A.’s past. Though museums around the region have had to shutter indoor spaces, Heritage Square is hosting self-guided walking tours of its grounds and gardens on most Fridays, Saturdays and Sundays. You’ll need to reserve a time slot to enter (and wear a face covering), but once inside you’re welcome to stroll or picnic for as long as you like. You can’t step inside any of the half-dozen late-19th-century structures, but the beautiful churches, train depots and houses offer plenty to gawk at from the outside.
Late Night Drive In
Where: Andaz West Hollywood
When: September 25, 2020 – October 10, 2020
Just like old times, you can catch movie screenings and comedy shows from smack dab in the middle of the Sunset Strip—but this time around, you’ll be watching both from your car. Andaz West Hollywood is screening a mix of ’70s L.A. classics alongside tales of counterculture and rebellion during this drive-in series in partnership with civic engagement group YEA! Impact. Hungry? Each event comes with the option to order off of the Andaz menu (think sliders, beer and cocktails, plus traditional concessions like hot dogs, popcorn and candy). You’ll find each screening atop the third level of the hotel’s open-air parking garage.
Concerts in your Car
Where: Ventura County Fairgrounds
When: September 25, 2020 – October 24, 2020
It’s been months since we’ve seen a live music performance in the flesh. And while seeing a show at a drive-in might not be quite the same as being in the pit, it’s a much-appreciated socially-distanced substitute. Concerts in Your Car is doing, well, just that this summer at the Ventura County Fairgrounds. The sprawling parking lot there has been converted into a theater-in-the-round that fits 700 cars, all pointed toward a stage with a band performing live (plus four massive video screens in case your view isn’t the best). Just tune in via your car’s FM radio and you’ll be able to catch sets through September from the likes of Ozomatli, Third Eye Blind, Fitz and the Tantrums and more.
Knott’s Taste of Fall-O-Ween
Where: Knott’s Berry Farm
When: September 25, 2020 – November 1, 2020
The park is technically still closed, but Knott’s Berry Farm is still finding a way to make the season spooky. Normally California’s oldest theme park goes all-out for Halloween with haunts and trails during Knott’s Scary Farm, but this year, it’s instead throwing a brand new food festival on just a portion of the grounds. The new Taste of Fall-O-Ween is set to include food stations packed with all the pumpkin-spiced treats, apple cider, funnel cakes, soup bread bowls and other fall fare you could want, plus more eerie options such as frozen “bloody” lemon slime margaritas. And while there will be adult concoctions to purchase, it’s a family-friendly event—so much so that there’s even a children’s trick-or-treating trail. There’s no admission needed for the fest, but you will need to purchase a tasting card, with five tastes for $35, or $20 for a kids card with three tastes. Find the full story on Taste of Fall-O-Ween here.
Home Tips: Household Gadgets
UV Sanitizer
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These come in all shapes and sizes. You can get one for your phone, you can get a larger one to fit your laptop. We’ve seen some people use these and throw in their masks, cellphones, and pacifiers to extend the life between washes. Slowly but surely, UV lights are making their way into everyone’s homes during this time. |
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Projector |
Since we can’t go to the movies, spice up your movie viewing with a projector that can be fit for your garage, or even set it up in your backyard for an outdoor movie night! |
Economic update for the week ending September 19, 2020
U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the week yielding 0.70%, up slightly from 0.67% last week. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the week at 1.45%, up slightly from 1.42% last week.
Mortgage rates – The September 17, 2020, Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate average was 2.87%, unchanged from 2.85% last week. The 15-year fixed was 2.37%, unchanged from 2.37% last week. The 5-year ARM was 2.96%, down from 3.11% last week.
California’s existing-home sales and prices hit a record high in August – The California Association of Realtors announced that existing, single-family home sales totaled 465,400 in August on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. That marked a month-over-month increase of 16.3% from the number of sales in July. Year-over-year sales were up 14.6% from August 2019’s 406,100 sales on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. The state-wide median price also hit a record high. It was $706,900, up 6.3% from $666,320 in July. Year-over-year the median price increased by 14.5% from $617,410 last August. That marked the steepest year over-year-increase in the median price since March 2014 when home prices were recovering from steep drops during the Great Recession financial crisis. The median price is the point at which one half the homes sell for more and one half sell for less. Historic low-interest rates with 30-year fixed at or under 3% have increased buyer demand, and very low inventory levels have created competition and pushed prices up. The unsold inventory index in August held steady at a 2.1-month supply. That was unchanged from July, but down from a 3.2-month supply one year ago. A 5-6-month supply is considered a normal market, but we have not seen that high of an inventory rate for many years. The index indicates the number of months it would take to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current rate of sales. The graph below indicates the number of sales and median prices for counties in Southern California.
The graph below indicates results from Southern California by county.